PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka70%
Maria Timofeeva30%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$20.9K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 09:50 AMSep 30, 10:11 PMOct 1, 10:33 AMOct 1, 10:54 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Maria Timofeeva” if Maria Timofeeva wins the first set. It will resolve to “Naomi Osaka” if Naomi Osaka wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket68% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi OsakaPolymarket72% Naomi OsakaOpen
Game Spread: Naomi Osaka (-5.5) vs Maria Timofeeva (+5.5)Polymarket60% Maria TimofeevaOpen
Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket79% UnderOpen
Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Maria Timofeeva vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket67% Under 2.5Open
China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi OsakaPolymarket78% Naomi OsakaOpen
China Open: Completed Match: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi OsakaPolymarket53% YesOpen
Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Timofeeva vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Naomi Osaka (-1.5) vs Maria Timofeeva (+1.5)Polymarket55% Naomi OsakaOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 11:15 PM UTC