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Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform 6 Months Later at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

6 Months Later59%
No41%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread22%
ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 25 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 09:30 AMSep 30, 05:32 PMOct 1, 01:35 AMOct 1, 09:37 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Megan Moroney performs '6 Months Later' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A performance requires the performer to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody from the song live, or play an instrument performing the recognizable melody, riff, or musical structure of the song live. Pre-recorded audio or video playback without simultaneous live contribution does not qualify. Medleys, mashups, and partial performances count as Yes. Guest appearances count if the specified performer actively participates in performing the song. If the event is postponed to a date before the deadline, the market remains open for the rescheduled event. If the event is cancelled entirely, rescheduled after the deadline, or the performer withdraws, the market resolves to No. Soundchecks and rehearsals do not count.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform Wish I Didn’t at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi80% NoOpen
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform Stupid at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi59% NoOpen
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi71% Tennessee OrangeOpen
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform I'm Not Pretty at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi70% NoOpen
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform No Caller ID at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi67% NoOpen
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform The Girls at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi73% NoOpen
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform Medicine at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi56% NoOpen
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform Miss Universe at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi70% NoOpen
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform Beautiful Things at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi51% Beautiful ThingsOpen
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform Am I Okay? at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi58% NoOpen
Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: Will Megan Moroney perform Cloud 9 at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?Kalshi63% NoOpen

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As of Oct 1, 10:26 AM UTC