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How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida in 2026?: 250 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026

250 or more99%
No1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 31, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the total number of locally acquired dengue cases reported in Florida during 2026 is at least 250, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 31). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.

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As of Oct 24, 11:41 PM UTC