KalshiResolved

Will Billie Eillish perform at either of Charli XCX’s headlining performances at the 2026 Austin City Limits Music Festival?

No65%
Billie Eillish35%

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ResolvesOct 12, 202613 days ago

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Billie Eillish performs (or it is announced that they will perform) at either of Charli XCX’s headlining performances at the 2026 Austin City Limits Music Festival during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes. Additional clarification(s): Billie Eillish appears on stage or in the official broadcast or stream; AND Billie Eillish actively and perceptibly contributes to a musical performance by singing (including audible lead or backing vocals), rapping, playing a musical instrument, DJ-ing, or conducting a live band; AND Is either a scheduled performer, a guest appearance during another artist's set, or is formally announced as a performer by official event organizers or Billie Eillish's official representatives. Note: This Contract may resolve on the announcement of Billie Eillish’s anticipated performance at either of Charli XCX’s headlining performances at the 2026 Austin City Limits Music Festival. If an announced Billie Eillish later withdraws from either of Charli XCX’s headlining performances at the 2026 Austin City Limits Music Festival, this will not affect the resolution of the Contract. The following constitutes a performance and IS encompassed by the Payout Criterion: A full solo performance of one or more songs. A collaborative or joint performance in which Billie Eillish is physically present and actively contributes musically. A guest appearance during another artist's set in which Billie Eillish performs at least one full verse, chorus, or musical segment. A medley in which Billie Eillish is present and actively performing, even if Billie Eillish's portion is partial. A performance in which Billie Eillish performs entirely via an officially produced and sanctioned satellite feed, video link, or holographic display that is presented as part of the official live event program, provided that the performance is real-time or was produced specifically for and presented exclusively within either of Charli XCX’s headlining performances at the 2026 Austin City Limits Music Festival. A DJ set in which Billie Eillish is the performing DJ operating equipment live, regardless of whether Billie Eillish sings. A pre-recorded performance segment presented as part of the official event program, provided it is attributed to Billie Eillish by the official event organizers and presented as a performance (rather than a tribute, retrospective, or archival clip). A performance that begins within the official event timeframe but extends beyond it due to scheduling overrun, provided the performance commenced during the official timeframe. A performance at a rescheduled version of either of Charli XCX’s headlining performances at the 2026 Austin City Limits Music Festival where the reschedule occurs within one year of the original event date, pursuant to the postponement provisions below.

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As of Oct 25, 03:24 PM UTC