Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-14.5)

No53%
Yale wins by over 14.5 points48%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread27%
ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 08:54 AMSep 30, 03:07 PMSep 30, 09:21 PMOct 1, 03:35 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Yale wins by more than 14.5 points in the Merrimack vs Yale college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies NCAA.com as its source and provides cancellation and postponement rules, while Kalshi provides different postponement handling and no stated resolution source. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Yale (-14.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yale" if Yale win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Merrimack". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-14.5)

    If Yale wins by more than 14.5 points in the Merrimack vs Yale college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-6.5)Kalshi66% Yale wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-18.5)Kalshi62% NoOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-22.5)Kalshi70% NoOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-26.5)Kalshi78% NoOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-34.5)Kalshi86% NoOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-2.5)Kalshi77% Yale wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-38.5)Kalshi89% NoOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-30.5)Kalshi81% NoOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Merrimack (-5.5)Kalshi87% NoOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Merrimack (-1.5)Kalshi84% NoOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Merrimack (-9.5)Kalshi89% NoOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Yale (-10.5)Kalshi59% Yale wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen

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As of Oct 1, 04:14 AM UTC