Mercyhurst wins by over 1.5 points

No80%
Mercyhurst wins by over 1.5 points20%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread22%
ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 08:54 AMSep 30, 10:20 PMOct 1, 11:46 AMOct 2, 01:12 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Mercyhurst wins by more than 1.5 points in the Mercyhurst vs LIU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket cites NCAA results and specifies a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled; Kalshi provides no resolution source and uses a 48-hour postponement window followed by a fair-price resolution. Their listed settlement times also differ, but these are resolution-rule differences rather than different questions.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Mercyhurst vs LIU: spread: Mercyhurst (-1.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mercyhurst" if Mercyhurst win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "LIU". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Mercyhurst wins by over 1.5 points

    If Mercyhurst wins by more than 1.5 points in the Mercyhurst vs LIU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
LIU wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi61% LIU wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Mercyhurst wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi87% NoOpen
Mercyhurst wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi86% NoOpen
LIU wins by over 34.5 pointsKalshi89% NoOpen
LIU wins by over 22.5 pointsKalshi77% NoOpen
LIU wins by over 30.5 pointsKalshi87% NoOpen
LIU wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi69% LIU wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
LIU wins by over 26.5 pointsKalshi84% NoOpen
Mercyhurst wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi89% NoOpen
LIU wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi63% NoOpen
LIU wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi56% NoOpen
LIU wins by over 18.5 pointsKalshi70% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 01:26 AM UTC