KalshiOpen

Will the natural gas close price be above 2.965 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.965

No50%
Above $2.96550%

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24h volume$9
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread75%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 3 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 08:37 AMSep 30, 07:36 PMOct 1, 06:35 AMOct 1, 05:34 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 2.965 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.930 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.930Kalshi88% Above $2.930Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.005 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.005Kalshi84% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.990 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.990Kalshi71% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.025 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.025Kalshi92% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.995 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.995Kalshi86% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.970 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.970Kalshi63% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3Kalshi89% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.950 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.950Kalshi65% Above $2.950Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.955 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.955Kalshi63% Above $2.955Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.065 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.065Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.070 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.070Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.060 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.060Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.085 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.085Kalshi84% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.090 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.090Kalshi84% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.075 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.075Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.050 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.050Kalshi92% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.055 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.055Kalshi92% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.080 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.080Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.045 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.045Kalshi92% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.035 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.035Kalshi92% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.040 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.040Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.985 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.985Kalshi79% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.980 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.980Kalshi72% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.960 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.960Kalshi53% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.975 USD/MMBtu on October 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.975Kalshi65% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Oct 1, 05:44 PM UTC