LimitlessOpen

SpaceX Starship 15th launch: Before Oct 30, 2026

Yes57%

No43%

Price checked at Sep 30, 02:41 PM UTC

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ResolvesOct 16, 2026in 16 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX Outcome verified from SpaceX .

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
SpaceX Starship 15th launch: Before Oct 16, 2026	Limitless	98% No	—	—	—	Open
SpaceX Starship 15th launch: Before Nov 13, 2026	Limitless	77% Yes	—	—	—	Open
SpaceX Starship 15th launch: Before Dec 11, 2026	Limitless	95% Yes	—	—	—	Open
SpaceX Starship 15th launch: Before Nov 27, 2026	Limitless	81% Yes	—	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 02:42 PM UTC