PolymarketOpen

Lai Ching-te visits US by December 31?

No88%

Yes13%

Price checked at Oct 1, 01:30 AM UTC

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24h volume$22.2

7d volume$22.2

30d volume$22.2

Liquidity$1.6K

Spread7%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Lai Ching-te visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Lai Ching-te physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Lai Ching-te enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Lai Ching-te visits US by June 30?	Polymarket	64% No	$403.6	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 1, 01:32 AM UTC