PolymarketOpen

Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?

No77%
Yes23%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$178.8
Spread40%
ResolvesMar 1, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 08:20 AMSep 30, 01:12 PMSep 30, 06:04 PMSep 30, 10:57 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Simcha Rothman be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Polymarket77% NoOpen
Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Polymarket52% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 11:21 PM UTC