PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Andres Andrade (-4.5) vs Luca Staeheli (+4.5)

Luca Staeheli52%
Andres Andrade49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$24.8
Spread10%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 06:37 AMSep 30, 08:53 AMSep 30, 11:09 AMSep 30, 01:25 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Andres Andrade" if Andres Andrade wins 4.5 or more total games than Luca Staeheli in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Luca Staeheli". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Andres Andrade could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Luca Staeheli". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Luca Staeheli vs Andres Andrade: Luca Staeheli winsPolymarket76% Andres AndradeOpen
Columbus: Completed Match: Luca Staeheli vs Andres AndradePolymarket54% YesOpen
Staeheli vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Luca Staeheli vs Andres AndradePolymarket70% Andres AndradeOpen
Set Handicap: Andres Andrade (-1.5) vs Luca Staeheli (+1.5)Polymarket53% Andres AndradeOpen
Staeheli vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket66% UnderOpen
Staeheli vs. Andrade: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Staeheli vs. Andrade: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Luca Staeheli (-1.5) vs Andres Andrade (+1.5)Polymarket86% Andres AndradeOpen
Staeheli vs. Andrade: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Luca Staeheli vs. Andres Andrade: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket67% Under 2.5Open
Staeheli vs. Andrade: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Luca Staeheli vs Andres AndradePolymarket61% Luca StaeheliOpen
Staeheli vs. Andrade: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Staeheli vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Staeheli vs. Andrade: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 01:51 PM UTC