Set Handicap: Colton Smith (-1.5) vs Aidan Mayo (+1.5)
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Colton Smith and Aidan Mayo in the Columbus, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Colton Smith" if Colton Smith wins by 2 or more sets than Aidan Mayo, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aidan Mayo." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Colton Smith can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Aidan Mayo." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus: Completed Match: Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith | Polymarket | 54% Yes | Open |
| Mayo vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Mayo vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Mayo vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Aidan Mayo vs. Colton Smith: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Mayo vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Set Handicap: Aidan Mayo (-1.5) vs Colton Smith (+1.5) | Polymarket | 50% Colton Smith | Open |
| Mayo vs. Smith: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 67% Over | Open |
| Mayo vs. Smith: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith | Polymarket | 50% Aidan Mayo | Open |
| Mayo vs. Smith: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 52% Under | Open |
| Mayo vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Mayo vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith | Polymarket | 60% Colton Smith | Open |
| Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith: Aidan Mayo wins | Polymarket | 64% Colton Smith | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 11:54 AM UTC