PolymarketOpen

Kretzer vs. Arcila: Match O/U 23.5

Under51%
Over49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$21.6
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 01:51 AMSep 30, 03:46 AMSep 30, 05:41 AMSep 30, 07:37 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Melero Kretzer and Alejandro Arcila in the M15 Fayetteville, AR, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Fayetteville, AR, Main Draw: Completed Match: Alejandro Melero Kretzer vs Alejandro ArcilaPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Alejandro Melero Kretzer vs Alejandro ArcilaPolymarket50% Alejandro ArcilaOpen
Kretzer vs. Arcila: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Kretzer vs. Arcila: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Kretzer vs. Arcila: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Alejandro Melero Kretzer (-1.5) vs Alejandro Arcila (+1.5)Polymarket50% Alejandro Melero KretzerOpen
Set Handicap: Alejandro Arcila (-1.5) vs Alejandro Melero Kretzer (+1.5)Polymarket50% Alejandro Melero KretzerOpen
Kretzer vs. Arcila: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Kretzer vs. Arcila: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Kretzer vs. Arcila: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Alejandro Melero Kretzer vs. Alejandro Arcila: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Kretzer vs. Arcila: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alejandro Melero Kretzer vs Alejandro ArcilaPolymarket50% Alejandro Melero KretzerOpen
Kretzer vs. Arcila: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
M15 Fayetteville, AR: Alejandro Melero Kretzer vs Alejandro ArcilaPolymarket58% Alejandro Melero KretzerOpen

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As of Sep 30, 07:52 AM UTC