PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Neo Niedner vs Duje Markovina

Neo Niedner50%
Duje Markovina50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.6
Spread96%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 01:50 AMSep 30, 06:17 AMSep 30, 10:45 AMSep 30, 03:13 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Neo Niedner and Duje Markovina in the M15 Fayetteville, AR, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Neo Niedner” if Neo Niedner wins the first set. It will resolve to “Duje Markovina” if Duje Markovina wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Fayetteville, AR, Main Draw: Completed Match: Neo Niedner vs Duje MarkovinaPolymarket53% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Duje Markovina (-1.5) vs Neo Niedner (+1.5)Polymarket50% Duje MarkovinaOpen
Niedner vs. Markovina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Niedner vs. Markovina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Neo Niedner vs. Duje Markovina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Neo Niedner (-1.5) vs Duje Markovina (+1.5)Polymarket50% Neo NiednerOpen
Niedner vs. Markovina: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Niedner vs. Markovina: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Niedner vs. Markovina: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Niedner vs. Markovina: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Neo Niedner vs Duje MarkovinaPolymarket50% Duje MarkovinaOpen
Niedner vs. Markovina: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Niedner vs. Markovina: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Niedner vs. Markovina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
M15 Fayetteville, AR: Neo Niedner vs Duje MarkovinaPolymarket53% Neo NiednerOpen

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As of Sep 30, 04:12 PM UTC