PolymarketOpen

Refaat vs. Soulie: Match O/U 23.5

Under51%
Over49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$22.1
Spread90%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 01:49 AMSep 30, 04:17 AMSep 30, 06:44 AMSep 30, 09:11 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Merna Refaat and Alice Soulie in the W15 Nashville, TN, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W15 Nashville, TN: Merna Refaat vs Alice SouliePolymarket69% Merna RefaatOpen
W15 Nashville, TN, Main Draw: Completed Match: Merna Refaat vs Alice SouliePolymarket59% YesOpen
Refaat vs. Soulie: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Alice Soulie (-1.5) vs Merna Refaat (+1.5)Polymarket80% Merna RefaatOpen
Set Handicap: Merna Refaat (-1.5) vs Alice Soulie (+1.5)Polymarket51% Alice SoulieOpen
Set 1 Winner: Merna Refaat vs Alice SouliePolymarket64% Merna RefaatOpen
Refaat vs. Soulie: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Refaat vs. Soulie: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Refaat vs. Soulie: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Refaat vs. Soulie: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Refaat vs. Soulie: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Refaat vs. Soulie: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Refaat vs. Soulie: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Merna Refaat vs. Alice Soulie: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket69% Under 2.5Open
Set 2 Winner: Merna Refaat vs Alice SouliePolymarket50% Alice SoulieOpen

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As of Sep 30, 09:21 AM UTC