KalshiOpen

30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 8.00%?

No78%
Above 8.00%22%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 6, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 12:48 AMSep 30, 02:23 AMSep 30, 03:59 AMSep 30, 05:34 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage reported in Freddie Mac’s final PMMS release published during 2027 is above 8.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. The year-end rate is the weekly 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average in the final PMMS release published during calendar year 2027. Only the initially published value from that release will be used; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. Earlier weekly readings do not determine the outcome.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 6.00%?Kalshi78% Above 6.00%Open
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 6.25%?Kalshi78% Above 6.25%Open
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 6.50%?Kalshi64% Above 6.50%Open
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 8.75%?Kalshi86% NoOpen
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 9.00%?Kalshi89% NoOpen
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 7.25%?Kalshi62% NoOpen
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 7.75%?Kalshi72% NoOpen
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 8.50%?Kalshi83% NoOpen
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 8.25%?Kalshi81% NoOpen
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 7.50%?Kalshi66% NoOpen
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 7.00%?Kalshi52% NoOpen
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2027 be above 6.75%?Kalshi55% Above 6.75%Open

Venue activity

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Held value—
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As of Sep 30, 05:55 AM UTC