KalshiOpen

How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 8.25%?

No51%
Above 8.25%50%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 6, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 12:47 AMSep 30, 07:23 AMSep 30, 01:58 PMSep 30, 08:34 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the 30-Yr FRM is above 8.25% in any Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) release published in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only PMMS releases published from January 1 through December 31, 2027, inclusive, count. The market uses the initially published weekly 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average; subsequent revisions are excluded. A reading equal to the strike does not qualify. The market may close and expire early if a qualifying reading exceeds the strike.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 7.00%?Kalshi90% Above 7.00%Open
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 9.00%?Kalshi85% NoOpen
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 9.25%?Kalshi87% NoOpen
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 9.50%?Kalshi91% NoOpen
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 9.75%?Kalshi92% NoOpen
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 7.75%?Kalshi69% Above 7.75%Open
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 8.00%?Kalshi58% Above 8.00%Open
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 8.50%?Kalshi66% NoOpen
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 7.50%?Kalshi77% Above 7.50%Open
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 8.75%?Kalshi75% NoOpen
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 10.00%?Kalshi94% NoOpen
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?: Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 7.25%?Kalshi86% Above 7.25%Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 09:22 PM UTC