KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,630 or above

7,630 or above88%
No13%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread19%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 3 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 11:46 PMSep 30, 03:32 AMSep 30, 07:18 AMSep 30, 11:04 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7629.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on September 30, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 30, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi93% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi88% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi87% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi81% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi81% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi85% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi90% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi82% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi64% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi80% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi65% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi87% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi73% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi60% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi78% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi73% 7,655 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi77% 7,645 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi51% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi65% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi75% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi66% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi83% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi84% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi83% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi87% 7,600 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 11:38 AM UTC