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KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,710 or above

No75%
7,710 or above26%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread21%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 8 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 11:45 PMSep 30, 03:31 AMSep 30, 07:17 AMSep 30, 11:03 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above 7709.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on September 30, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 30, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,760 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi96% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,770 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi95% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi78% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi74% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi70% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi53% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi68% 7,655 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi55% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi59% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi51% 7,675 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi53% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi55% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi65% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,620 or aboveKalshi87% 7,620 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi82% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi79% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi90% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi74% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi83% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,610 or aboveKalshi84% 7,610 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 11:23 AM UTC