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KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,770 or above

No98%
7,770 or above2%

Price checked at

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24h volume$315.3
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 12 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 11:45 PMSep 30, 03:31 AMSep 30, 07:17 AMSep 30, 11:03 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on September 30, 2026 is above 7769.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on September 30, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 30, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7569.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,570 or aboveKalshi92% 7,570 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7559.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,560 or aboveKalshi98% 7,560 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,575 or aboveKalshi98% 7,575 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,555 or aboveKalshi89% 7,555 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi63% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7564.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,565 or aboveKalshi97% 7,565 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi97% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi65% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi70% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi71% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,550 or aboveKalshi90% 7,550 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi93% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7544.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,545 or aboveKalshi91% 7,545 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7539.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,540 or aboveKalshi91% 7,540 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,620 or aboveKalshi87% 7,620 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,610 or aboveKalshi96% 7,610 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi94% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7534.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,535 or aboveKalshi94% 7,535 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7529.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,530 or aboveKalshi92% 7,530 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7524.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,525 or aboveKalshi87% 7,525 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi99% 7,585 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi54% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi88% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,775 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi83% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 11:23 AM UTC