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Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be between 8.8 and 9.0 on Oct 2, 2026? 8.8% to 9.0%

No63%
8.8% to 9.0%37%

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24h volume$3.6K
7d volume—
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Spread3%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 11:28 PMSep 30, 07:06 AMSep 30, 02:44 PMSep 30, 10:22 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is between 8.8% and 9.0% at exactly 2:35 PM ET on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Sep 30, 10:52 PM UTC