KalshiOpen

SpaceX Starship 15th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 13, 2026?

Before Nov 13, 202678%

No22%

Price checked at Sep 30, 08:18 AM UTC

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24h volume$33.2

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	98% No	$2.7K	—	—	Open
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Oct 30, 2026?	Kalshi	72% Before Oct 30, 2026	$514.7	—	—	Open
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?	Kalshi	83% Before Nov 27, 2026	$17.7	—	—	Open
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?: Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Dec 11, 2026?	Kalshi	92% Before Dec 11, 2026	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 09:06 AM UTC