KalshiOpen

Tech layoff rate in September: Tech layoff rate above 2.4% in Sep 2026?

No94%

Above 2.4%6%

Price checked at Sep 30, 09:28 PM UTC

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24h volume$12

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the layoffs and discharges rate for the Information industry in September 2026 is greater than 2.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “tech layoffs” refers exclusively to the layoffs and discharges rate for the Information industry reported in FRED series JTU5100LDR. This is a monthly, not seasonally adjusted rate expressed as a percentage. The market will resolve using the first value published for the specified month; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Tech layoff rate in September: Tech layoff rate above 1.8% in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	82% No	$253	—	—	Open
Tech layoff rate in September: Tech layoff rate above 0.8% in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	88% Above 0.8%	$1.1	—	—	Open
Tech layoff rate in September: Tech layoff rate above 1.6% in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	74% No	$0	—	—	Open
Tech layoff rate in September: Tech layoff rate above 2.2% in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
Tech layoff rate in September: Tech layoff rate above 2.0% in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	88% No	$0	—	—	Open
Tech layoff rate in September: Tech layoff rate above 1.4% in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	62% No	$0	—	—	Open
Tech layoff rate in September: Tech layoff rate above 1.2% in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	62% Above 1.2%	$0	—	—	Open
Tech layoff rate in September: Tech layoff rate above 1.0% in Sep 2026?	Kalshi	73% Above 1.0%	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 09:41 PM UTC