PolymarketOpen

Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Oklahoma not air?

No99%
Yes1%

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24h volume$448.9
7d volume$448.9
30d volume$448.9
Liquidity$626
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 06:33 AMSep 30, 08:16 AMSep 30, 09:59 AMSep 30, 11:42 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Oklahoma on October 1, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-ok-president-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during his Midterm Rally in Oklahoma on October 1, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Trump say "Reagan" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket81% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket91% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Smelter" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket55% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket52% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Fake News" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket92% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Will Trump say "ICE" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket74% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Hell" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket95% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket84% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Budget" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket71% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket62% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket93% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Income Tax" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket85% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Transgender" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket91% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Lumber" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket69% NoOpen
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his rally in Oklahoma?Polymarket61% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 12:31 PM UTC