Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeff Bezos is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Jeff Bezos crosses the internationally recognized Kármán line will not impact this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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As of Sep 30, 03:26 AM UTC