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Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?

No94%
Yes6%

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24h volume$32.6
7d volume$32.6
30d volume$32.6
Liquidity$7.1K
Spread10%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:54 PMSep 30, 06:11 AMSep 30, 01:29 PMSep 30, 08:46 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits a giant panda by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump being physically present in the same location as a giant panda, including any habitat, exhibit, viewing area. The panda does not need to be a specific named panda, and the location is not limited to any particular zoo or venue. Trump may be physically separated from the giant panda in any capacity, e.g. through exhibit glass, a fence, or a transport enclosure, so long as Trump is in the immediate presence of the giant panda. Being present elsewhere within the same zoo, park, or venue, without being in the immediate presence of a giant panda, will not qualify. This market will resolve "Yes" regardless of whether Trump is photographed with, interacts with, or otherwise engages the panda, as long as he is physically present with a giant panda during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this information will be official statements from the relevant venue, the White House, or Trump's verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS or https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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As of Sep 30, 08:48 PM UTC