KalshiOpen

Best AI in Oct 2026? Gemini

No80%

Gemini21%

Price checked at Sep 30, 05:45 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread35%

ResolvesOct 31, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Best AI in Oct 2026? Claude	Kalshi	79% Claude	$262.4	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 06:11 AM UTC