PolymarketOpen

Will Trump say "Shut Up" in October?

Yes76%

No25%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:24 PM UTC

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24h volume$30

7d volume$30

30d volume$30

Liquidity$169.1

Spread27%

ResolvesOct 31, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in October?	Polymarket	73% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Ass" in October?	Polymarket	87% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Stupid Person" in October?	Polymarket	89% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Slob" in October?	Polymarket	85% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Central Casting" in October?	Polymarket	84% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Polymarket	72% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Front Row Joe" in October?	Polymarket	86% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Caravan" in October?	Polymarket	71% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Caddie" in October?	Polymarket	70% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Refund" in October?	Polymarket	70% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" or "TDS" in October?	Polymarket	71% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Illness" in October?	Polymarket	70% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Newborn" in October?	Polymarket	72% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Shit" in October?	Polymarket	80% Yes	$264.3	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in October?	Polymarket	90% Yes	$131	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Teleprompter" in October?	Polymarket	85% Yes	$105	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Gay" in October?	Polymarket	54% No	$61.6	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Weave" in October?	Polymarket	70% Yes	$30	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?	Polymarket	72% No	$10	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "Who Are You With" or "Where Are You From" in October?	Polymarket	90% Yes	$10	—	—	Open
Will Trump say "American Dream" in October?	Polymarket	51% Yes	$10	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 02:05 PM UTC