PolymarketOpen

Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?

Messi62%
Rodri39%

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24h volume$786.3
7d volume$786.3
30d volume$786.3
Liquidity$1.8K
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 08:00 PMSep 30, 12:55 PMOct 1, 05:50 AMOct 1, 10:45 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Rodri" if Rodri finishes higher than Lionel Messi in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Messi" if Lionel Messi finishes higher than Rodri. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Oct 1, 11:34 PM UTC