PolymarketOpen

Will Manaka Matsukubo finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$50.6
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:47 PMSep 30, 02:14 AMSep 30, 05:41 AMSep 30, 09:08 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 3 players tie for the top 3 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 3 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final three places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Mariona Caldentey finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Patri Guijarro finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Barbra Banda finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Temwa Chawinga finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Alessia Russo finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will Esmee Brugts finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Selma Bacha finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Kerstin Casparij finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Cata Coll finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Alex Greenwood finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Scarlett Camberos finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Melchie Dumornay finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket56% YesOpen
Will Rose Lavelle finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Melvine Malard finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Lorena finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Mapi León finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Khadija Shaw finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket73% NoOpen
Will Vivianne Miedema finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Wendie Renard finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Caroline Weir finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Tessa Wullaert finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Momoko Tanikawa finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 09:22 AM UTC