PolymarketOpen

Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No93%
Yes8%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$789
Spread7%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 07:14 PMSep 29, 08:45 PMSep 29, 10:16 PMSep 29, 11:47 PM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket98% YesOpen
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket98% YesOpen
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket98% YesOpen
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket83% NoOpen
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket83% YesOpen
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket60% YesOpen
Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% YesOpen
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket89% NoOpen
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket86% YesOpen
Will Willian Pacho finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Nuno Mendes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Sadio Mané finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will João Neves finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Marquinhos finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Julián Quiñones finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will William Saliba finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Dayot Upamecano finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket77% NoOpen
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Polymarket63% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 11:48 PM UTC