PolymarketOpen

M25 Kigali: Axel Nefve vs Alec Beckley

Alec Beckley60%
Axel Nefve40%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$195.9
Spread6%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 07:04 PMSep 29, 09:46 PMSep 30, 12:27 AMSep 30, 03:08 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Axel Nefve and Alec Beckley in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Axel Nefve' if Axel Nefve advances against Alec Beckley. This market will resolve to 'Alec Beckley' if Alec Beckley advances against Axel Nefve. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Kigali, Main Draw: Completed Match: Axel Nefve vs Alec BeckleyPolymarket54% YesOpen
Nefve vs. Beckley: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Axel Nefve vs. Alec Beckley: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Axel Nefve (-1.5) vs Alec Beckley (+1.5)Polymarket75% Alec BeckleyOpen
Set Handicap: Alec Beckley (-1.5) vs Axel Nefve (+1.5)Polymarket60% Axel NefveOpen
Nefve vs. Beckley: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Axel Nefve vs Alec BeckleyPolymarket50% Alec BeckleyOpen
Nefve vs. Beckley: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Nefve vs. Beckley: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Nefve vs. Beckley: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Axel Nefve vs Alec BeckleyPolymarket58% Alec BeckleyOpen
Nefve vs. Beckley: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Nefve vs. Beckley: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Nefve vs. Beckley: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Nefve vs. Beckley: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 03:52 AM UTC