PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Abedallah Shelbayh (-4.5) vs Daniil Ostapenkov (+4.5)

Abedallah Shelbayh51%
Daniil Ostapenkov50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.4
Spread97%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 05:50 PMSep 30, 06:01 AMSep 30, 06:13 PMOct 1, 06:25 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Abedallah Shelbayh" if Abedallah Shelbayh wins 4.5 or more total games than Daniil Ostapenkov in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Daniil Ostapenkov". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Abedallah Shelbayh could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Daniil Ostapenkov". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Columbus: Completed Match: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil OstapenkovPolymarket52% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil OstapenkovPolymarket64% Daniil OstapenkovOpen
Abedallah Shelbayh vs. Daniil Ostapenkov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Shelbayh vs. Ostapenkov: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Shelbayh vs. Ostapenkov: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Shelbayh vs. Ostapenkov: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Daniil Ostapenkov (-1.5) vs Abedallah Shelbayh (+1.5)Polymarket50% Abedallah ShelbayhOpen
Shelbayh vs. Ostapenkov: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shelbayh vs. Ostapenkov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Abedallah Shelbayh (-1.5) vs Daniil Ostapenkov (+1.5)Polymarket51% Daniil OstapenkovOpen
Shelbayh vs. Ostapenkov: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Shelbayh vs. Ostapenkov: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil OstapenkovPolymarket67% Abedallah ShelbayhOpen
Shelbayh vs. Ostapenkov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Shelbayh vs. Ostapenkov: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil Ostapenkov: Abedallah Shelbayh winsPolymarket74% Abedallah ShelbayhOpen

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As of Oct 1, 07:29 AM UTC