Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before the midterms?
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Probability history
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No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the listed US state between market creation and November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before the midterms? | Polymarket | 61% No | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms? | Polymarket | 64% No | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms? | Polymarket | 62% No | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms? | Polymarket | 60% Yes | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Oregon before the midterms? | Polymarket | 84% No | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Texas before the midterms? | Polymarket | 99% Yes | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ohio before the midterms? | Polymarket | 99% Yes | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before the midterms? | Polymarket | 93% Yes | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Iowa before the midterms? | Polymarket | 81% Yes | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Georgia before the midterms? | Polymarket | 70% Yes | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Nevada before the midterms? | Polymarket | 59% Yes | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Michigan before the midterms? | Polymarket | 64% Yes | Open |
| Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before the midterms? | Polymarket | 57% Yes | Open |
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As of Sep 30, 02:26 AM UTC