PolymarketOpen

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

No51%
Yes49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$18.2
Spread90%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 19 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 05:06 PMSep 29, 07:33 PMSep 29, 10:01 PMSep 30, 12:28 AM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Sourcehttps://www.dotabuff.com

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Games Total: O/U 2.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Polymarket53% Team NemesisOpen
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerPolymarket68% Natus VincereOpen
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?Polymarket71% NoOpen
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?Polymarket64% NoOpen
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?Polymarket68% NoOpen
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?Polymarket64% NoOpen
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?Polymarket51% YesOpen
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?Polymarket64% NoOpen
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?Polymarket68% NoOpen
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?Polymarket68% NoOpen
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?Polymarket71% NoOpen
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Polymarket52% OverOpen
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Polymarket53% OverOpen
First Blood in Game 2?Polymarket51% Team NemesisOpen
First Blood in Game 1?Polymarket51% Natus VincereOpen
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group BPolymarket78% Natus VincereOpen
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerPolymarket68% Natus VincereOpen

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As of Sep 30, 12:45 AM UTC