PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: August Holmgren vs Andrea Guerrieri

Andrea Guerrieri53%
August Holmgren48%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$21.4
Spread88%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 04:50 PMSep 29, 11:05 PMSep 30, 05:21 AMSep 30, 11:37 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Andrea Guerrieri in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “August Holmgren” if August Holmgren wins the first set. It will resolve to “Andrea Guerrieri” if Andrea Guerrieri wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Porto 2: Completed Match: August Holmgren vs Andrea GuerrieriPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: August Holmgren vs Andrea GuerrieriPolymarket54% Andrea GuerrieriOpen
Holmgren vs. Guerrieri: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Holmgren vs. Guerrieri: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Holmgren vs. Guerrieri: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Holmgren vs. Guerrieri: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Holmgren vs. Guerrieri: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Holmgren vs. Guerrieri: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Holmgren vs. Guerrieri: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Holmgren vs. Guerrieri: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Game Spread: Andrea Guerrieri (-1.5) vs August Holmgren (+1.5)Polymarket51% August HolmgrenOpen
Holmgren vs. Guerrieri: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket54% OverOpen
August Holmgren vs. Andrea Guerrieri: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Andrea Guerrieri (-1.5) vs August Holmgren (+1.5)Polymarket51% Andrea GuerrieriOpen
Porto 2: August Holmgren vs Andrea GuerrieriPolymarket56% Andrea GuerrieriOpen

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As of Sep 30, 11:57 AM UTC