PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Joel Schwaerzler vs Harry Wendelken

Harry Wendelken55%
Joel Schwaerzler46%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$9.4K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 04:50 PMSep 30, 03:06 AMSep 30, 01:22 PMSep 30, 11:38 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Harry Wendelken in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Joel Schwaerzler” if Joel Schwaerzler wins the first set. It will resolve to “Harry Wendelken” if Harry Wendelken wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Completed Match: Joel Schwaerzler vs Harry WendelkenPolymarket62% YesOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Wendelken: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Wendelken: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Joel Schwaerzler vs. Harry Wendelken: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket60% Under 2.5Open
Schwaerzler vs. Wendelken: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket61% OverOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Wendelken: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Wendelken: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Wendelken: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket82% OverOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Wendelken: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Wendelken: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Harry Wendelken (-1.5) vs Joel Schwaerzler (+1.5)Polymarket65% Joel SchwaerzlerOpen
Game Spread: Harry Wendelken (-0.5) vs Joel Schwaerzler (+0.5)Polymarket53% Harry WendelkenOpen
Schwaerzler vs. Wendelken: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Joel Schwaerzler vs Harry WendelkenPolymarket52% Harry WendelkenOpen
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Joel Schwaerzler vs Harry WendelkenPolymarket56% Harry WendelkenOpen

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As of Oct 1, 12:08 AM UTC