KalshiOpen

Miguel Vargas: 2+ home runs?

No98%
Miguel Vargas: 2+2%

Price checked at

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24h volume$9.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:14 PMSep 29, 04:31 PMSep 29, 05:48 PMSep 29, 07:04 PM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Miguel Vargas records 2+ home runs in Chicago WS vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Miguel Vargas is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Miguel Vargas starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Miguel Vargas is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market. If Miguel Vargas is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Munetaka Murakami: 1+ home runs?Kalshi81% NoOpen
Munetaka Murakami: 2+ home runs?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Yordan Alvarez: 1+ home runs?Kalshi79% NoOpen
Miguel Vargas: 1+ home runs?Kalshi82% NoOpen
Jose Altuve: 1+ home runs?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Jeremy Peña: 1+ home runs?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Christian Walker: 1+ home runs?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Isaac Paredes: 1+ home runs?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Colson Montgomery: 1+ home runs?Kalshi83% NoOpen
Yordan Alvarez: 2+ home runs?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Jose Altuve: 2+ home runs?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Christian Walker: 2+ home runs?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Jeremy Peña: 2+ home runs?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Isaac Paredes: 2+ home runs?Kalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC