Ethereum Up or Down on October 1?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sourcehttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 11:32 AM UTC