Set 1 Winner: Makoto Ochi vs Chen Dong
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Makoto Ochi and Chen Dong in the M25 Darwin, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Makoto Ochi” if Makoto Ochi wins the first set. It will resolve to “Chen Dong” if Chen Dong wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| M25 Darwin, Main Draw: Completed Match: Makoto Ochi vs Chen Dong | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Makoto Ochi vs Chen Dong | Polymarket | 100% Chen Dong | Open |
| Makoto Ochi vs. Chen Dong: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Ochi vs. Dong: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Ochi vs. Dong: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Ochi vs. Dong: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Ochi vs. Dong: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Ochi vs. Dong: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Ochi vs. Dong: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Ochi vs. Dong: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Ochi vs. Dong: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Ochi vs. Dong: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Set Handicap: Makoto Ochi (-1.5) vs Chen Dong (+1.5) | Polymarket | 91% Chen Dong | Open |
| Set Handicap: Chen Dong (-1.5) vs Makoto Ochi (+1.5) | Polymarket | 100% Chen Dong | Open |
| M25 Darwin: Makoto Ochi vs Chen Dong | Polymarket | 100% Chen Dong | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 1, 06:00 AM UTC