PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Luca Castagnola (-1.5) vs Jan Werblinski (+1.5)

Luca Castagnola50%
Jan Werblinski50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.9
Spread92%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 02:56 PMSep 29, 06:35 PMSep 29, 10:15 PMSep 30, 01:54 AM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castagnola and Jan Werblinski in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luca Castagnola" if Luca Castagnola wins by 2 or more sets than Jan Werblinski, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Jan Werblinski." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Luca Castagnola can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Jan Werblinski." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw: Completed Match: Jan Werblinski vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket60% YesOpen
M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Jan Werblinski vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket77% Luca CastagnolaOpen
Set 1 Winner: Jan Werblinski vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket50% Luca CastagnolaOpen
Set 2 Winner: Jan Werblinski vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket50% Jan WerblinskiOpen
Jan Werblinski vs. Luca Castagnola: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket51% Over 2.5Open
Werblinski vs. Castagnola: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Werblinski vs. Castagnola: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Werblinski vs. Castagnola: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Werblinski vs. Castagnola: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Werblinski vs. Castagnola: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Werblinski vs. Castagnola: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Werblinski vs. Castagnola: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Werblinski vs. Castagnola: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Werblinski vs. Castagnola: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Jan Werblinski (-1.5) vs Luca Castagnola (+1.5)Polymarket50% Luca CastagnolaOpen

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As of Sep 30, 02:30 AM UTC