PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Matilde Mariani (-1.5) vs Mariia Lazarenko (+1.5)

Mariia Lazarenko71%
Matilde Mariani30%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.7K
Spread5%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 02:56 PMSep 29, 08:19 PMSep 30, 01:41 AMSep 30, 07:04 AM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matilde Mariani and Mariia Lazarenko in the W15 Monastir, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Matilde Mariani" if Matilde Mariani wins by 2 or more sets than Mariia Lazarenko, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mariia Lazarenko." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Matilde Mariani can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Mariia Lazarenko." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 1 Winner: Mariia Lazarenko vs Matilde MarianiPolymarket54% Mariia LazarenkoOpen
Set 2 Winner: Mariia Lazarenko vs Matilde MarianiPolymarket50% Mariia LazarenkoOpen
Mariia Lazarenko vs. Matilde Mariani: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket65% Under 2.5Open
Lazarenko vs. Mariani: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket65% UnderOpen
Lazarenko vs. Mariani: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Lazarenko vs. Mariani: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Lazarenko vs. Mariani: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Lazarenko vs. Mariani: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Lazarenko vs. Mariani: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Lazarenko vs. Mariani: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Lazarenko vs. Mariani: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Lazarenko vs. Mariani: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Mariia Lazarenko (-1.5) vs Matilde Mariani (+1.5)Polymarket63% Matilde MarianiOpen
W15 Monastir, Main Draw: Completed Match: Mariia Lazarenko vs Matilde MarianiPolymarket53% YesOpen
W15 Monastir: Mariia Lazarenko vs Matilde MarianiPolymarket55% Mariia LazarenkoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 07:55 AM UTC