PolymarketOpen

Bains vs. Vaquero: Match O/U 23.5

Under54%
Over47%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$22.3
Spread91%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 02:56 PMSep 29, 07:26 PMSep 29, 11:56 PMSep 30, 04:26 AM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Naiktha Bains and Maria Martinez Vaquero in the W75 Quinta do Lago, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W75 Quinta do Lago, Main Draw: Completed Match: Naiktha Bains vs Maria Martinez VaqueroPolymarket60% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Naiktha Bains vs Maria Martinez VaqueroPolymarket63% Naiktha BainsOpen
Set 2 Winner: Naiktha Bains vs Maria Martinez VaqueroPolymarket50% Naiktha BainsOpen
Naiktha Bains vs. Maria Martinez Vaquero: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket66% Under 2.5Open
Bains vs. Vaquero: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket65% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Vaquero: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Vaquero: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Bains vs. Vaquero: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Vaquero: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Vaquero: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Vaquero: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Vaquero: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Maria Martinez Vaquero (-1.5) vs Naiktha Bains (+1.5)Polymarket82% Naiktha BainsOpen
W75 Quinta do Lago: Naiktha Bains vs Maria Martinez VaqueroPolymarket69% Naiktha BainsOpen
Set Handicap: Naiktha Bains (-1.5) vs Maria Martinez Vaquero (+1.5)Polymarket52% Maria Martinez VaqueroOpen

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As of Sep 30, 04:31 AM UTC