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S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 30?

Up76%
Down24%

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24h volume$81.3
7d volume$81.3
30d volume$81.3
Liquidity$366.1
Spread70%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 15 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 02:52 PMSep 29, 07:39 PMSep 30, 12:25 AMSep 30, 05:12 AM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on September 30 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on September 30 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Sourcehttps://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

Venue activity

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Held value—
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As of Sep 30, 05:18 AM UTC