KalshiOpen

Will the gold close price be above 4311 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4311

No99%
Above $43111%

Price checked at

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24h volume$27
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 15 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 12:43 PMSep 29, 06:24 PMSep 30, 12:05 AMSep 30, 05:45 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4311 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the gold close price be above 4171 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4171Kalshi51% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4241 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4241Kalshi90% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4251 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4251Kalshi93% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4231 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4231Kalshi85% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4201 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4201Kalshi73% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4221 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4221Kalshi86% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4161 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4161Kalshi62% Above $4161Open
Will the gold close price be above 4211 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4211Kalshi79% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4261 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4261Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4321 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4321Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4331 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4331Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4181 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4181Kalshi54% Above $4181Open
Will the gold close price be above 4191 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4191Kalshi62% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4041 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4041Kalshi99% Above $4041Open
Will the gold close price be above 4091 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4091Kalshi87% Above $4091Open
Will the gold close price be above 4151 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4151Kalshi69% Above $4151Open
Will the gold close price be above 4081 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4081Kalshi88% Above $4081Open
Will the gold close price be above 4141 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4141Kalshi75% Above $4141Open
Will the gold close price be above 4131 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4131Kalshi85% Above $4131Open
Will the gold close price be above 4051 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4051Kalshi99% Above $4051Open
Will the gold close price be above 4061 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4061Kalshi99% Above $4061Open
Will the gold close price be above 4271 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4271Kalshi87% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4281 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4281Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4291 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4291Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4121 USD/t.oz on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4121Kalshi91% Above $4121Open

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 06:21 AM UTC