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Zhang vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Over50%
Under50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0.2
Spread98%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:51 AMSep 29, 08:14 PMSep 30, 05:37 AMSep 30, 03:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zhizhen Zhang and Arthur Gea in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Zhizhen Zhang vs Arthur GeaPolymarket50% NoOpen
Set 1 Winner: Zhizhen Zhang vs Arthur GeaPolymarket63% Arthur GeaOpen
Zhang vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Zhang vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Zhizhen Zhang vs. Arthur Gea: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket53% Under 2.5Open
Zhang vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Zhizhen Zhang vs Arthur GeaPolymarket98% Arthur GeaOpen
Zhang vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
China Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Arthur GeaPolymarket99% Arthur GeaOpen
Zhang vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Arthur Gea (-1.5) vs Zhizhen Zhang (+1.5)Polymarket50% Zhizhen ZhangOpen
Game Spread: Arthur Gea (-3.5) vs Zhizhen Zhang (+3.5)Polymarket95% Arthur GeaOpen
Zhang vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket93% UnderOpen
Zhang vs. Gea: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Zhang vs. Gea: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 04:09 PM UTC