PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Stefanos Tsitsipas (-3.5) vs Tomas Etcheverry (+3.5)

Tomas Etcheverry56%
Stefanos Tsitsipas45%

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24h volume$5.6K
7d volume$5.6K
30d volume$5.6K
Liquidity$20.2K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 02:52 PMSep 29, 05:58 PMSep 29, 09:03 PMSep 30, 12:09 AM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Stefanos Tsitsipas" if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins 3.5 or more total games than Tomas Etcheverry in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tomas Etcheverry". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Stefanos Tsitsipas could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Tomas Etcheverry". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 2 Winner: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos TsitsipasPolymarket67% Stefanos TsitsipasOpen
Set 1 Winner: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos TsitsipasPolymarket65% Stefanos TsitsipasOpen
Etcheverry vs. Tsitsipas: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Etcheverry vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket62% OverOpen
Etcheverry vs. Tsitsipas: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket60% OverOpen
Etcheverry vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Etcheverry vs. Tsitsipas: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Etcheverry vs. Tsitsipas: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket92% OverOpen
Etcheverry vs. Tsitsipas: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos TsitsipasPolymarket71% Stefanos TsitsipasOpen
Set Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Tomas Etcheverry (+1.5)Polymarket55% Tomas EtcheverryOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos TsitsipasPolymarket53% YesOpen
Etcheverry vs. Tsitsipas: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket62% UnderOpen
Tomas Etcheverry vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Etcheverry vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket53% OverOpen

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As of Sep 30, 12:09 AM UTC