Set Handicap: Michael Zheng (-1.5) vs Yanki Erel (+1.5)
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Zheng and Yanki Erel in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Michael Zheng" if Michael Zheng wins by 2 or more sets than Yanki Erel, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Yanki Erel." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Michael Zheng can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Yanki Erel." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zheng vs Yanki Erel: Michael Zheng wins | Polymarket | 84% Michael Zheng | Open |
| Jingshan: Completed Match: Michael Zheng vs Yanki Erel | Polymarket | 54% Yes | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Michael Zheng vs Yanki Erel | Polymarket | 51% Yanki Erel | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Michael Zheng vs Yanki Erel | Polymarket | 58% Yanki Erel | Open |
| Zheng vs. Erel: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Zheng vs. Erel: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Zheng vs. Erel: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Zheng vs. Erel: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Zheng vs. Erel: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Zheng vs. Erel: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Zheng vs. Erel: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Michael Zheng vs. Yanki Erel: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Zheng vs. Erel: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Zheng vs. Erel: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Game Spread: Michael Zheng (-5.5) vs Yanki Erel (+5.5) | Polymarket | 51% Michael Zheng | Open |
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As of Sep 30, 01:39 PM UTC