KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,575 or above

7,575 or above86%
No15%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread16%
ResolvesSep 29, 20264 hours ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 04:09 AMSep 29, 10:26 AMSep 29, 04:43 PMSep 29, 11:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above 7574.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on September 29, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 29, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi98% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi99% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi99% 7,655 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi92% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi99% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi99% 7,675 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi99% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi99% 7,645 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi99% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi99% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,620 or aboveKalshi96% 7,620 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,610 or aboveKalshi85% 7,610 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,605 or aboveKalshi89% 7,605 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,595 or aboveKalshi85% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi91% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Sep 29, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,590 or aboveKalshi88% 7,590 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 11:08 PM UTC