KalshiResolved

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Sep 29, 2026? 5.07% or above

5.07% or above99%

No1%

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24h volume$35.5

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesSep 29, 20266 hours ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 29, 2026, or one week following Sep 29, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Sep 29, 2026? 5.13% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.13% or above	$1.5K	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Sep 29, 2026? 5.19% or above	Kalshi	77% No	$826.3	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Sep 29, 2026? 5.15% or above	Kalshi	98% 5.15% or above	$683	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Sep 29, 2026? 5.11% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.11% or above	$516	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Sep 29, 2026? 5.17% or above	Kalshi	68% No	$415	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Sep 29, 2026? 5.09% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.09% or above	$218	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Sep 29, 2026? 4.91% or above	Kalshi	96% 4.91% or above	$94	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Sep 29, 2026? 4.99% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.99% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Sep 29, 2026? 5.03% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.03% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Sep 29, 2026? 5.01% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.01% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Sep 29, 2026? 4.97% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.97% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Sep 29, 2026? 5.05% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.05% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Sep 29, 2026? 4.95% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.95% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Sep 29, 2026? 4.93% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.93% or above	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 01:25 AM UTC